Current Temperature

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Florida is famous for its pleasant temperatures year-round—yet climate change may noticeably alter the character of the state's climate.

Average state temperatures have varied substantially over the past century, with a warming trend since the late 1960s. Average winter rainfall has increased while average summer rainfall has decreased. Extreme rainfall events have become more frequent. Sea level along Florida's Gulf coast—from the Everglades to the Panhandle—has steadily risen,  increasing by up to eight inches over the past one hundred years. The number of miles of eroding beaches has been increasing as well.

WINTER - Average temperatures, High 78 Low 60 Average precipitation 5.3

SPRING  - Average temperatures High 83 Low 66 Average precipitation 8.3

SUMMER - Average temperatures High 89 Low 75 Average precipitation 16.6

FALL    - Average temperatures, High 85 Low 70 Average precipitation 13.6


    3-10°F rise in winter lows and 3-7°F rise in summer highs. July heat index-a measure combining temperature and humidity to represent the temperature actually felt—could rise by 10-25°F. The freeze line is likely to move north. Ocean water temperatures are also likely to warm.

    In South Florida, one climate model projects the area to get wetter, while the other projects the area to become drier. However, summer soil moisture—critically important to agriculture and forestry determined by rainfall gains and evaporation losses—is projected to change little in the southern part of the state. On the other hand, rainfall over northern Florida is projected to decrease, with soil moisture projections varying. Where and when dry conditions do increase, the risk of wildfires is likely to increase as well.

    More frequent intense rainfall events are projected, with longer dry periods in between. Hurricane intensity (characterized by maximum wind speeds and rainfall totals) could increase slightly with global warming, although changes in future hurricane frequency are uncertain. Even if storm frequencies and intensities remain constant, the damages from coastal flooding and erosion will increase as sea level rises.

    Sea level will increase at a faster rate over the coming century, rising approximately fifteen inches by the end of the century. Even a relatively small vertical rise in sea level (under one foot) can move the shoreline inland by a substantial distance (several tens of feet) along low-lying, flat coastal areas.



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